{"id":15501,"date":"2022-03-16T15:12:36","date_gmt":"2022-03-16T15:12:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ndiqparate.al\/?p=15501"},"modified":"2022-04-29T09:47:27","modified_gmt":"2022-04-29T09:47:27","slug":"projeksion-data-kur-shqiperia-potencialisht-arrin-nivelin-e-te-ardhurave-per-fryme-te-be-se","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ndiqparate.al\/?p=15501","title":{"rendered":"Projeksion, data kur Shqip\u00ebria potencialisht arrin nivelin e t\u00eb ardhurave p\u00ebr frym\u00eb t\u00eb BE-s\u00eb"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Open Data Albania po analizon projeksione apo skenar\u00eb t\u00eb ndrysh\u00ebm q\u00eb tregojn\u00eb se kur do t\u00eb arrij\u00eb Shqip\u00ebria t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtin nivel t\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurave p\u00ebr frym\u00eb me at\u00eb t\u00eb Bashkimit Europian, p\u00ebrkat\u00ebsisht mesataren e tyre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>P\u00ebr t\u00eb realizuar projeksionet pesimiste dhe optimiste potencialisht t\u00eb mundshme, po konsiderojm\u00eb dinamik\u00ebn me t\u00eb cil\u00ebn kan\u00eb ndryshuar t\u00eb ardhurat p\u00ebr frym\u00eb n\u00eb vend. Duke vler\u00ebsuar ecurin\u00eb e rritjes apo ndryshimit me baz\u00eb vjetore t\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurave p\u00ebr frym\u00eb p\u00ebr vendin ton\u00eb dhe t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtin tregues p\u00ebr mesataren e vendeve t\u00eb BE-se.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u00eb periudh\u00ebn kohore 2000 \u2013 2020 Shqip\u00ebria ka sh\u00ebnuar rritje me baz\u00eb vjetore t\u00eb ardhurave p\u00ebr frym\u00eb, mesatarisht 4.3 % n\u00eb vit. Kjo rritje \u00ebsht\u00eb e lart\u00eb n\u00eb vende si dhe Shqip\u00ebria, vende q\u00eb vijn\u00eb nga tranzicioni dhe situata ekonomike me nivele t\u00eb ul\u00ebta. I nj\u00ebjti tregues p\u00ebr mesataren e BE-s\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb 1.01%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe width=\"600\" height=\"371\" seamless=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vSndC1sLo_aKBM_R5ODsDrgsIPqLUaIBudfr5CuZ9VRXWZgjVZ33JL9eDFONIzuhB-mrlFp-NKl9lUk\/pubchart?oid=70705812&amp;format=interactive\"><\/iframe><br>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px;\"><small>Burimi: Banka Bot\u00ebrore, Databaza Statistikore<br>\nP\u00ebrpunimi dhe Analiza: Open Data Albania <\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe width=\"600\" height=\"371\" seamless=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vSndC1sLo_aKBM_R5ODsDrgsIPqLUaIBudfr5CuZ9VRXWZgjVZ33JL9eDFONIzuhB-mrlFp-NKl9lUk\/pubchart?oid=504308835&amp;format=interactive\"><\/iframe><br>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px;\"><small>Burimi: Banka Bot\u00ebrore, Databaza Statistikore<br>\nP\u00ebrpunimi dhe Analiza: Open Data Albania <\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u00ebse ecim duke konsideruar rritjen vjetore n\u00eb disa vite dhe duke projektuar ecurin\u00eb n\u00eb koh\u00eb, nxjerrim edhe nj\u00eb rezultat se n\u00eb cilin vit Shqip\u00ebria mund t\u00eb arrij\u00eb n\u00eb nivelin e t\u00eb ardhurave p\u00ebr frym\u00eb t\u00eb barabart\u00eb me mesataren e&nbsp; vendeve BE.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Por duke qen\u00eb se po punojm\u00eb me nj\u00eb Projeksion, do t\u00eb p\u00ebrpiqemi t\u00eb p\u00ebrllogarisim nj\u00eb skenar baz\u00eb, nj\u00eb optimist dhe nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr pesimist.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00cbsht\u00eb nd\u00ebrtuar skenari baz\u00eb, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb rritjen mesatare vjetore p\u00ebr vitet 2000-2020 (21 vite).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb nxjerr\u00eb skenarin optimist, jan\u00eb vler\u00ebsuar vitet para-kriz\u00ebs 2008 (2000-2008, 9 vite). Gjithashtu \u00ebsht\u00eb nd\u00ebrtuar edhe skenari pesimist, ai i rritjes s\u00eb ngadalt\u00eb ekonomike, dhe jan\u00eb p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb vitet pasi kriza \u00ebsht\u00eb kaluar t\u00ebr\u00ebsisht (2014-2020, 7 vite).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Duke nd\u00ebrtuar skenarin optimist, tregohet se Shqip\u00ebria do t\u00eb p\u00ebrafroj\u00eb nivelin e t\u00eb ardhurave t\u00eb saj p\u00ebr frym\u00eb, me nivelin mesatar t\u00eb BE-s\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2060. Niveli i t\u00eb ardhurave p\u00ebr frym\u00eb t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb dhe i mesatares s\u00eb BE, n\u00eb pik\u00ebn e konvergjenc\u00ebs do t\u00eb jet\u00eb 73 311 USD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe width=\"600\" height=\"371\" seamless=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vSndC1sLo_aKBM_R5ODsDrgsIPqLUaIBudfr5CuZ9VRXWZgjVZ33JL9eDFONIzuhB-mrlFp-NKl9lUk\/pubchart?oid=1765598346&amp;format=interactive\"><\/iframe><br>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px;\"><small>Burimi: Banka Bot\u00ebrore, Databaza Statistikore<br>\nP\u00ebrpunimi dhe Analiza: Open Data Albania <\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Me skenarin baz\u00eb, na rezulton se Shqip\u00ebria do t\u00eb arrij\u00eb mesataren e t\u00eb ardhurave p\u00ebr frym\u00eb BE, n\u00eb vitin 2078, me nivelin e t\u00eb ardhurave 61 195 $\/frym\u00eb. P\u00ebr skenarin baz\u00eb kemi marr\u00eb si baz\u00eb analizuese mesataren e rritjes s\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurave p\u00ebr frym\u00eb p\u00ebr vitet 2000 \u2013 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe width=\"600\" height=\"371\" seamless=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vSndC1sLo_aKBM_R5ODsDrgsIPqLUaIBudfr5CuZ9VRXWZgjVZ33JL9eDFONIzuhB-mrlFp-NKl9lUk\/pubchart?oid=2052146205&amp;format=interactive\"><\/iframe><br>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px;\"><small>Burimi: Banka Bot\u00ebrore, Databaza Statistikore<br>\nP\u00ebrpunimi dhe Analiza: Open Data Albania <\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Skenari pesimist merr p\u00ebr baz\u00eb vitet e pas kriz\u00ebs ekonomike t\u00eb 2008-\u00ebs, kriz\u00eb me m\u00eb shum\u00eb efekte n\u00eb ekonomi t\u00eb zhvilluara. Sipas k\u00ebtij skenari, konvergjenca do t\u00eb arrihet n\u00eb vitin 2154, me nj\u00eb nivel t\u00eb ardhurash prej 96 556 USD p\u00ebr frym\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe width=\"600\" height=\"371\" seamless=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vSndC1sLo_aKBM_R5ODsDrgsIPqLUaIBudfr5CuZ9VRXWZgjVZ33JL9eDFONIzuhB-mrlFp-NKl9lUk\/pubchart?oid=1327939998&amp;format=interactive\"><\/iframe><br>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px;\"><small>Burimi: Banka Bot\u00ebrore, Databaza Statistikore<br>\nP\u00ebrpunimi dhe Analiza: Open Data Albania <\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>T\u00eb ardhurat mesatare p\u00ebr frym\u00eb n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri n\u00eb vitin 2020 ishin 6.5 her\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebta se Mesatarja p\u00ebr vendet an\u00ebtare t\u00eb BE. N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb projeksion mbi koh\u00ebn q\u00eb i duhet vendit ton\u00eb t\u00eb arrij\u00eb nivelin evropian nuk parashikohen efekte t\u00eb cilat mund t\u00eb vijn\u00eb p\u00ebr shkaqe q\u00eb lidhen me kriza ekonomike apo faktor\u00eb t\u00eb tjer\u00eb q\u00eb ndikojn\u00eb ekonomit\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<b>Shkarko excel:<\/b> <a href=\"https:\/\/ndiqparate.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Projeksion-data-kur-Shqiperia-potencialisht-arrin-nivelin-e-te-ardhurave-per-fryme-te-BE-se.xls\">Projeksion, data kur Shqip\u00ebria potencialisht arrin nivelin e t\u00eb ardhurave p\u00ebr frym\u00eb t\u00eb BE-s\u00eb<\/a><br>\nKomente dhe Analiza : Open Data Albania<br>\nKontribuoi: Ilir Brasha\n<style>\np{\ntext-align: justify !important;\n}\n<\/style>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Open Data Albania po analizon projeksione apo skenar\u00eb t\u00eb ndrysh\u00ebm q\u00eb tregojn\u00eb se kur do t\u00eb arrij\u00eb Shqip\u00ebria t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtin nivel t\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurave p\u00ebr frym\u00eb me at\u00eb t\u00eb Bashkimit Europian, p\u00ebrkat\u00ebsisht mesataren e tyre. P\u00ebr t\u00eb realizuar projeksionet pesimiste dhe optimiste potencialisht t\u00eb mundshme, po konsiderojm\u00eb dinamik\u00ebn me t\u00eb cil\u00ebn kan\u00eb ndryshuar t\u00eb ardhurat p\u00ebr frym\u00eb n\u00eb vend. Duke vler\u00ebsuar ecurin\u00eb e rritjes apo&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":15503,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false},"categories":[39,134,673],"tags":[1573,3883,3884,3881,1134,3882,3880],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/ndiqparate.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Data.Al_-Rritja-e-te-ardhurave-per-fryme-e-Shqiperise-dhe-mesatarja-e-BE-se-2000-2020.png?fit=600%2C371&ssl=1","jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":22926,"url":"https:\/\/ndiqparate.al\/?p=22926","url_meta":{"origin":15501,"position":0},"title":"Stoku dhe Kosto e Borxhit Publik 2025. 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