{"id":19497,"date":"2023-05-31T16:24:00","date_gmt":"2023-05-31T16:24:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ndiqparate.al\/?p=19497"},"modified":"2024-05-04T08:52:49","modified_gmt":"2024-05-04T08:52:49","slug":"projeksion-i-shperndarjes-mandate-per-deputet-ne-zgjedhjet-e-2025-bazuar-ne-te-dhena-rezultate-per-subjekte-te-14-majit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ndiqparate.al\/?p=19497","title":{"rendered":"Projeksion i shp\u00ebrndarjes Mandate p\u00ebr Deputet n\u00eb zgjedhjet e 2025 bazuar n\u00eb t\u00eb dh\u00ebna rezultate p\u00ebr Subjekte t\u00eb Procesit Zgjedhor t\u00eb 14 majit"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Ekipi i analist\u00ebve pran\u00eb Open Data Albania ka b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb Projeksion t\u00eb ndarjes s\u00eb Mandateve n\u00eb Zgjedhjet p\u00ebr Parlament q\u00eb do t\u00eb mbahen n\u00eb 2025. P\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb projeksion jemi bazuar tek rezultati n\u00eb qarqe sipas Subjekteve Zgjedhore n\u00eb votimin p\u00ebr k\u00ebshilla bashkiak t\u00eb mbajtur m\u00eb 14 maj 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u00ebse n\u00eb 2025 shkohet me t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtin Sistem Zgjedhor, me t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtat Parti pjes\u00ebmarr\u00ebse dhe votat jan\u00eb ato t\u00eb 2023, Partia Socialiste fiton <strong>84 mandate<\/strong>,10 m\u00eb shum\u00eb se n\u00eb zgjedhjet e 2021. Ky \u00ebsht\u00eb paradoksi i par\u00eb i konstatuar n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb kalkulim p\u00ebr projeksion. Nd\u00ebrsa PS ka marr\u00eb n\u00eb 2023 m\u00eb pak vota se n\u00eb 2021, formula dhe sistemi i garantojn\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb mandate deputet\u00ebsh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Prezenca e shum\u00eb partive t\u00eb vogla dhe t\u00eb fragmentuara pa koalicione para zgjedhore, krijon deformim t\u00eb p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsimit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u00eb konkretisht PS ka marr\u00eb n\u00eb <strong>2021<\/strong> vota <strong>768&nbsp;134<\/strong> , nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb proces zgjedhor t\u00eb 14 majit subjekti PS arriti t\u00eb marr\u00eb p\u00ebr k\u00ebshilla bashkiak vet\u00ebm <strong>579&nbsp;576 Vota<\/strong>. Pra <strong>24.5% m\u00eb pak<\/strong> individ kan\u00eb votuar PS. Megjith\u00ebse me tkurrje elektorale, PS do ja dilte t\u00eb merrte dhe mandatonte shumic\u00eb <strong>tre t\u00eb pestat<\/strong> e Kuvendit. Kjo pasi n\u00eb zgjedhjet e 14 Majit jan\u00eb regjistruar 40 Subjekte kundrejt 12 n\u00eb zgjedhjet e 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Duke aplikuar formul\u00ebn dhe parashikimin Ligjor t\u00eb Neni 162 t\u00eb Kodit Zgjedhor (n\u00eb fuqi) rezultati i 14 majit, n\u00ebse do t\u00eb ishte proces p\u00ebr zgjedhje parlamentare do t\u00eb b\u00ebnte ndarje Mandat Deputeti si vijon:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul><li>Partia Socialiste, 84 Deputet, 10 m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 2021.<\/li><li>Bashk\u00eb Fitojm\u00eb, 34 deputet. N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb subjekt b\u00ebjn\u00eb pjes\u00eb Partia e Liris\u00eb ish LSI drejtuar nga Ilir Meta dhe pjesa e t\u00eb larguarve nga Partia Demokratike njohur si Foltorja e ish kryetarit zotit Sali Berisha. Po k\u00ebtu jan\u00eb edhe Partia Bashkimi p\u00ebr t\u00eb Drejtat e Njeriut e Vangjel Dules dhe Partia Demokristiane kryetar zoti Nard Ndoka. Krahasimi tipik me 2021 nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb i mundur p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb Subjekt.<\/li><li>Partia Demokratike Zyrtare me votat e marra n\u00eb zgjedhjet e maj 2023 n\u00eb nj\u00eb projeksion 2025 merr vet\u00ebm 11 Deputet.<\/li><li>Partia Social Demokrate me kryetar Tom Doshi merr n\u00eb projeksion 9 mandate, pra 6 m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 2021.<\/li><li>Edhe Partia Agrare Ambientaliste me Kryetar Agron Duka do t\u00eb merrte 2 mandate.<\/li><li>Parti t\u00eb tjera edhe pse kan\u00eb vota dometh\u00ebn\u00ebse n\u00eb num\u00ebr, nuk do t\u00eb merrnin n\u00eb Zgjedhjet e 2025-\u00ebs asnj\u00eb mandat. Jasht\u00eb kuvendit do t\u00eb mbetej n\u00eb nj\u00eb rezultat si ky i 14 majit edhe Arlind Qori i L\u00ebvizja Bashk\u00eb apo Endri Shabani i Nism\u00ebs Thurje.<\/li><li>Jan\u00eb <strong>282 850<\/strong> vota t\u00eb marra nga parti t\u00eb tjera, q\u00eb nuk prodhojn\u00eb asnj\u00eb deputet n\u00eb 2025 n\u00ebse mbetemi tek sistemi, kushtet dhe numrat e 14 majit.<\/li><li><strong>Dyqind e tet\u00ebdhjet\u00eb e dy mij\u00eb e tet\u00ebqind e pes\u00ebdhjet\u00eb votues jan\u00eb sa 29 deputet<\/strong> n\u00ebse konsiderojm\u00eb si mesatare votash p\u00ebr mandat 9600 vota (totali vota te vlefshme 1&nbsp;344&nbsp;275 pjes\u00ebtohet me 140 Mandate).<\/li><li><strong>Penetrimi Parlamentar<\/strong> i partive t\u00eb reja apo t\u00eb vogla n\u00eb nj\u00eb sistem zgjedhor proporcional rajonal, me formul\u00ebn e Kodit Aktual \u00ebsht\u00eb i pamundur. I vetmi <strong>rezultat apo p\u00ebrfitim<\/strong> i partive t\u00eb vogla q\u00eb marrin s\u00eb bashku 282 850 votues \u00ebsht\u00eb e drejta p\u00ebr tu financuar nga Buxheti i Shtetit si parti politike, q\u00eb kalojn\u00eb pragun komb\u00ebtar prej 1 p\u00ebrqind, ose arrijn\u00eb 10 mij\u00eb vota total. Shiko transaksione ne <a href=\"https:\/\/spending.data.al\/sq\/treasury\/list\/year\/2019\/pay_cat\/6044009\">Thesar<\/a><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<iframe width=\"600\" height=\"371\" seamless=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vTTI4H8_hQAcZ7hj53s4v7gi-XZ8VIbiBVuUtfbDG2c9wfnCWLUH0YbZ-YUFtAXRe8XSEyeGzNUPFG_\/pubchart?oid=1199909111&amp;format=interactive\"><\/iframe>\n<br>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px;\"><small><br>\nBurimi: <a href=\"https:\/\/iemis.kqz.gov.al\/\">KQZ <\/a> <br>\nKomente dhe Analiza: Open Data Albania <\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe width=\"600\" height=\"549\" seamless=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vTTI4H8_hQAcZ7hj53s4v7gi-XZ8VIbiBVuUtfbDG2c9wfnCWLUH0YbZ-YUFtAXRe8XSEyeGzNUPFG_\/pubchart?oid=498680563&amp;format=interactive\"><\/iframe>\n<br>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px;\"><small><br>\nBurimi: <a href=\"https:\/\/iemis.kqz.gov.al\/\">KQZ <\/a> <br>\nKomente dhe Analiza: Open Data Albania <\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Paradoksi q\u00ebndron tek favorizimi me formul\u00eb i Partis\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb Madhe n\u00eb Gar\u00eb. N\u00ebse shohim rezultatin n\u00eb vot\u00eb dhe n\u00eb mandate n\u00eb Zgjedhje 2021 (kur n\u00eb list\u00eb ishin vet\u00ebm 12 subjekte) me Projeksion 2025 sipas vot\u00ebs s\u00eb 14 Majit (tashm\u00eb me 40 subjekte garuese), rezulton nj\u00eb <strong>raport i zhdrejt\u00eb vota me num\u00ebr deputet\u00ebsh<\/strong>. Duke lexuar rezultatin zgjedhor t\u00eb PS kuptojm\u00eb se megjith\u00ebse ka humbur 188&nbsp;558 Votues apo 24.5% t\u00eb votuesve t\u00eb vitit 2021, Subjekti me k\u00ebt\u00eb struktur\u00eb konkurrimi dhe Formul\u00ebn Aktuale t\u00eb Kodit Zgjedhor n\u00eb Fuqi, rritet n\u00eb num\u00ebr deputet\u00ebsh. Pra, me 10 Deputet ose 13.5% m\u00eb shum\u00eb mandate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe width=\"600\" height=\"371\" seamless=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vTTI4H8_hQAcZ7hj53s4v7gi-XZ8VIbiBVuUtfbDG2c9wfnCWLUH0YbZ-YUFtAXRe8XSEyeGzNUPFG_\/pubchart?oid=1926764562&amp;format=interactive\"><\/iframe>\n<br>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px;\"><small><br>\nBurimi: <a href=\"https:\/\/iemis.kqz.gov.al\/\">KQZ <\/a> <br>\nKomente dhe Analiza: Open Data Albania <\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe width=\"749\" height=\"371\" seamless=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vTTI4H8_hQAcZ7hj53s4v7gi-XZ8VIbiBVuUtfbDG2c9wfnCWLUH0YbZ-YUFtAXRe8XSEyeGzNUPFG_\/pubchart?oid=2069926320&amp;format=interactive\"><\/iframe>\n<br>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px;\"><small><br>\nBurimi: <a href=\"https:\/\/iemis.kqz.gov.al\/\">KQZ <\/a> <br>\nKomente dhe Analiza: Open Data Albania <\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe width=\"676\" height=\"371\" seamless=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vTTI4H8_hQAcZ7hj53s4v7gi-XZ8VIbiBVuUtfbDG2c9wfnCWLUH0YbZ-YUFtAXRe8XSEyeGzNUPFG_\/pubchart?oid=320220334&amp;format=interactive\"><\/iframe>\n<br>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px;\"><small><br>\nBurimi: <a href=\"https:\/\/iemis.kqz.gov.al\/\">KQZ <\/a> <br>\nKomente dhe Analiza: Open Data Albania <\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Struktura e deputet\u00ebve sipas qarqeve e p\u00ebrllogaritur nga ekipi i Open Data Albana si Projeksion Hipotetik bazuar n\u00eb votimet e 14 Majit 2023 rezulton:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Tirana<\/strong> ka 36 deputet ku 21 i shkojn\u00eb PS, 10 Bashk\u00eb Fitojm\u00eb, 3 PD dhe 2 PSD. Megjith\u00ebse kan\u00eb siguruar an\u00ebtar K\u00ebshill <strong>Bashkiak, subjekti Nisma Thurje <\/strong>(E. Shabani) dhe<strong> L\u00ebvizja<\/strong> Bashk\u00eb (A. Qori) me k\u00ebt\u00eb situat\u00eb zgjedhore nuk ja dalin t\u00eb b\u00ebhen deputet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe width=\"642\" height=\"374\" seamless=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vTTI4H8_hQAcZ7hj53s4v7gi-XZ8VIbiBVuUtfbDG2c9wfnCWLUH0YbZ-YUFtAXRe8XSEyeGzNUPFG_\/pubchart?oid=912584919&amp;format=interactive\"><\/iframe>\n<br>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px;\"><small><br>\nBurimi: <a href=\"https:\/\/iemis.kqz.gov.al\/\">KQZ <\/a> <br>\nKomente dhe Analiza: Open Data Albania <\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Partia Socialiste<\/strong> do t\u00eb merrte <strong>11<\/strong> deputet\u00eb n\u00eb qarkun e <strong>Fierit<\/strong>, Koalicioni <strong>Bashk\u00eb Fitojm\u00eb 3<\/strong>, nd\u00ebrsa <strong>Partia Demokratike<\/strong> dhe <strong>Social Demokrate<\/strong> nga <strong>nj\u00eb<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u00eb qarkun e <strong>Durr\u00ebsit<\/strong>, <strong>8<\/strong> deputet do t\u00eb shkonin p\u00ebr <strong>Partin\u00eb Socialiste<\/strong>, <strong>4<\/strong> p\u00ebr koalicionin <strong>Bashk\u00eb Fitojm\u00eb<\/strong>, nd\u00ebrsa nga <strong>nj\u00eb<\/strong> mandat p\u00ebr <strong>Partin\u00eb Demokratike<\/strong> dhe <strong>Partin\u00eb Agrare Ambientaliste t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mandatet e deputet\u00ebve n\u00eb qarkun e <strong>Elbasanit<\/strong> projektohen : <strong>9<\/strong> p\u00ebr <strong>Partin\u00eb Socialiste<\/strong>, <strong>3<\/strong> p\u00ebr Koalicionin <strong>Bashk\u00eb Fitojm\u00eb<\/strong> dhe <strong>2<\/strong> p\u00ebr <strong>Partin\u00eb Demokratike<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Tet\u00eb<\/strong> mandate deputet\u00ebsh do t\u00eb siguronte <strong>Partia Socialiste<\/strong> n\u00eb <strong>Vlor\u00eb<\/strong>, kundrejt <strong>3<\/strong> Koalicioni <strong>Bashk\u00eb Fitojm\u00eb<\/strong> dhe <strong>1<\/strong> <strong>Partia Demokratike<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u00eb <strong>Kor\u00e7\u00eb<\/strong> <strong>Partia Socialiste<\/strong> do t\u00eb fitonte <strong>8<\/strong> mandate, nd\u00ebrsa Koalicioni <strong>Bashk\u00eb Fitojm\u00eb 2<\/strong> mandate dhe Partia Demokratike vet\u00ebm <strong>1<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Me Parti Demokratike t\u00eb ndar\u00eb n\u00eb dy subjekte garuese (zyrtare dhe pjesa e Foltores tek Bashke Fitojm\u00eb) edhe Shkodra krijon ep\u00ebrsi n\u00eb num\u00ebr deputet\u00ebsh p\u00ebr Partin\u00eb Socialiste. Qarku do t\u00eb ndahej me <strong>4<\/strong> mandate p\u00ebr PS; 3 p\u00ebr deputet p\u00ebr Koalicionin <strong>Bashk\u00eb Fitojm\u00eb<\/strong> dhe po <strong>3<\/strong> mandate p\u00ebr Partin\u00eb e zotit Tom Doshi Partia Social-Demokrate. Partia Demokratike Zyrtare do t\u00eb mbetej me nj\u00eb deputet p\u00ebr qarkun.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Qarku <strong>Lezhe: 3<\/strong> p\u00ebr PS; <strong>2 <\/strong>p\u00ebr Bashk\u00eb Fitojm\u00eb dhe <strong>2 <\/strong>p\u00ebr PSD t\u00eb Tom Doshit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u00eb qarkun e <strong>Beratit<\/strong> <strong>5<\/strong> mandate do t\u00eb shkonin p\u00ebr <strong>Partin\u00eb Socialiste<\/strong>. Nga <strong>1<\/strong> mandat do t\u00eb fitonin koalicioni <strong>Bashk\u00eb Fitojm\u00eb<\/strong> dhe <strong>Partia Demokratike Zyrtare<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Partia Socialiste<\/strong> do t\u00eb siguronte <strong>3<\/strong> mandate n\u00eb qarkun e <strong>Dibr\u00ebs<\/strong>, nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb q\u00eb vet\u00ebm <strong>nj\u00eb<\/strong> mandat do t\u00eb shkonte p\u00ebr koalicionin <strong>Bashk\u00eb Fitojm\u00eb<\/strong>. <strong>Nj\u00eb<\/strong> mandat do ta fitonte edhe <strong>Partia Social-Demokrate<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mandatet e deputet\u00ebve n\u00eb <strong>Gjirokast\u00ebr<\/strong>: <strong>3<\/strong> p\u00ebr <strong>Partin\u00eb Socialiste<\/strong> dhe vet\u00ebm <strong>1<\/strong> p\u00ebr koalicionin <strong>Bashk\u00eb Fitojm\u00eb<\/strong>. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u00eb qarkun e <strong>Kuk\u00ebsit<\/strong> do t\u00eb fitonin nga <strong>1<\/strong> mandat deputeti <strong>Partia Socialiste<\/strong> dhe koalicioni <strong>Bashk\u00eb Fitojm\u00eb<\/strong>. Gjithashtu, <strong>nj\u00eb<\/strong> mandat deputeti do ta siguronte edhe <strong>Partia Agrare Ambientaliste<\/strong> e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe width=\"600\" height=\"549\" seamless=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vTTI4H8_hQAcZ7hj53s4v7gi-XZ8VIbiBVuUtfbDG2c9wfnCWLUH0YbZ-YUFtAXRe8XSEyeGzNUPFG_\/pubchart?oid=498680563&amp;format=interactive\"><\/iframe>\n<br>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px;\"><small><br>\nBurimi: <a href=\"https:\/\/iemis.kqz.gov.al\/\">KQZ <\/a> <br>\nKomente dhe Analiza: Open Data Albania <\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Partia Socialiste<\/strong> me votat e marra n\u00eb zgjedhjet e 14 majit 2023, do t\u00eb siguronte <strong>3<\/strong> deputet\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb n\u00eb qarkun e <strong>Tiran\u00ebs<\/strong>, nga <strong>2<\/strong> m\u00eb shum\u00eb n\u00eb <strong>Kor\u00e7\u00eb <\/strong>dhe <strong>Fier<\/strong>, si dhe nga <strong>1<\/strong> mandat deputeti m\u00eb shum\u00eb n\u00eb qarqet e <strong>Shkodr\u00ebs<\/strong>, <strong>Elbasanit <\/strong>dhe <strong>Dibr\u00ebs <\/strong>sesa n\u00eb vitin 2021. N\u00eb <strong>total <\/strong>do t\u00eb kishte <strong>84 <\/strong>deputet\u00eb nga 74 mandate t\u00eb vitit 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe width=\"670\" height=\"371\" seamless=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vTTI4H8_hQAcZ7hj53s4v7gi-XZ8VIbiBVuUtfbDG2c9wfnCWLUH0YbZ-YUFtAXRe8XSEyeGzNUPFG_\/pubchart?oid=651785546&amp;format=interactive\"><\/iframe>\n<br>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px;\"><small><br>\nBurimi: <a href=\"https:\/\/iemis.kqz.gov.al\/\">KQZ <\/a> <br>\nKomente dhe Analiza: Open Data Albania <\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Po b\u00ebjm\u00eb nj\u00eb krahasim hipotetik t\u00eb kampit Opozitar duke grupuar dhe krahasuar:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul><li>n\u00eb 2021 si t\u00eb till\u00eb koalicionin PD me Aleanca p\u00ebr Ndryshim dhe subjektin LSI.<\/li><li>n\u00eb 2023 p\u00ebrb\u00ebr\u00eb (Opozita) nga subjekti Bashk\u00eb Fitojm\u00eb, plus Partin\u00eb Demokratike Zyrtare dhe Partine Agrare Ambientaliste.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Kjo Opozit\u00eb (apo spekt\u00ebr opozitar) <\/strong>edhe po t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb nj\u00eb matematik\u00eb mandatesh totali, duke mbledhur secilin subjekt, pa nj\u00eb bashkim apo afrim parazgjedhor, rezulton me<strong>:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul><li><strong>Humbje<\/strong> me <strong>4<\/strong> mandate n\u00eb qarkun e <strong>Tiran\u00ebs<\/strong>.<\/li><li><strong>3<\/strong> deputet\u00eb m\u00eb pak n\u00eb qarkun e <strong>Fierit<\/strong> (krahasuar me mandate 2021);<\/li><li>Humbje me nga <strong>2<\/strong> deputet\u00eb n\u00eb qarqet e <strong>Shkodr\u00ebs<\/strong>, <strong>Lezh\u00ebs<\/strong>, <strong>Dibr\u00ebs<\/strong> dhe <strong>Kor\u00e7\u00ebs<\/strong>.<\/li><li><strong>1 <\/strong>mandat m\u00eb pak do t\u00eb fitonte opozita edhe n\u00eb qarkun e <strong>Elbasanit<\/strong>.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<iframe width=\"633\" height=\"371\" seamless=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vTTI4H8_hQAcZ7hj53s4v7gi-XZ8VIbiBVuUtfbDG2c9wfnCWLUH0YbZ-YUFtAXRe8XSEyeGzNUPFG_\/pubchart?oid=566705607&amp;format=interactive\"><\/iframe>\n<br>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px;\"><small><br>\nBurimi: <a href=\"https:\/\/iemis.kqz.gov.al\/\">KQZ <\/a> <br>\nKomente dhe Analiza: Open Data Albania <\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Partia <strong>Social Demokrate<\/strong> do t\u00eb siguronte <strong>nj\u00eb<\/strong> deputet m\u00eb shum\u00eb n\u00eb qarkun e <strong>Shkodr\u00ebs<\/strong>, p\u00ebrkat\u00ebsisht 3 (p\u00ebrkthyer nga votat e zgjedhjeve lokale 2023) nga 2 mandate t\u00eb vitit 2021. <strong>Nj\u00eb<\/strong> deputet m\u00eb shum\u00eb do merrte <strong>PSD<\/strong> edhe n\u00eb qarkun e <strong>Tiran\u00ebs<\/strong>, p\u00ebrkat\u00ebsisht 2 nga 1 n\u00eb vitin 2021. &nbsp;<strong>PSD<\/strong> do t\u00eb fitonte me votat e zgjedhjeve t\u00eb 14 majit 2023, <strong>2<\/strong> mandate n\u00eb <strong>Lezh\u00eb<\/strong>, dhe nga <strong>nj\u00eb<\/strong> n\u00eb <strong>Dib\u00ebr<\/strong> dhe <strong>Fier, qarqe ku nuk ka patur m\u00eb her\u00ebt mandate.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe width=\"600\" height=\"371\" seamless=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vTTI4H8_hQAcZ7hj53s4v7gi-XZ8VIbiBVuUtfbDG2c9wfnCWLUH0YbZ-YUFtAXRe8XSEyeGzNUPFG_\/pubchart?oid=1668136623&amp;format=interactive\"><\/iframe>\n<br>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px;\"><small><br>\nBurimi: <a href=\"https:\/\/iemis.kqz.gov.al\/\">KQZ <\/a> <br>\nKomente dhe Analiza: Open Data Albania <\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Krahasim Vota Parti Politike.<\/strong> Kemi b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb krahasim t\u00eb votave t\u00eb fituara n\u00eb zgjedhjet e p\u00ebrgjithshme t\u00eb vitit 2021 me zgjedhjet vendore t\u00eb vitit 2023 si projeksion i votave n\u00eb Zgjedhjet Parlamentare 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Partia Socialiste<\/strong> ka fituar rreth <strong>24.5%<\/strong> m\u00eb <strong>pak<\/strong> vota n\u00eb zgjedhjet e 14 majit 2023 sesa n\u00eb ato t\u00eb 25 prillit 2021. P\u00ebrkat\u00ebsisht, PS n\u00eb vitin 2021 num\u00ebronte 768 134 vota nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb 2023, 579 576 vota. N\u00eb p\u00ebrqindje <strong>PS<\/strong> mori <strong>48.67%<\/strong> t\u00eb votave t\u00eb vlefshme n\u00eb vitin <strong>2021<\/strong>, nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb vitin <strong>2023<\/strong> rreth <strong>43.11%.<\/strong> R\u00ebnia n\u00eb vota \u00ebsht\u00eb rreth <strong>5.56<\/strong> pik\u00eb p\u00ebrqindje.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Krahasimi p\u00ebr <strong>opozit\u00ebn<\/strong> \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb duke u bazuar tek koalicioni i vitit 2021 midis Partis\u00eb Demokratike dhe aleat\u00ebve. P\u00ebr vitin 2021 jan\u00eb mbledhur votat e Partis\u00eb Demokratike \u2013 Aleanca p\u00ebr Ndryshim me ato t\u00eb Partis\u00eb L\u00ebvizja Socialiste p\u00ebr Integrim. P\u00ebr efekt krahasimi n\u00eb vitin 2023 jan\u00eb bashkuar votat e Koalicionit Bashk\u00eb Fitojm\u00eb, Partis\u00eb Demokratike Zyrtare, Partis\u00eb Agrare Ambientaliste, Partis\u00eb Republikane, Partis\u00eb Drejt\u00ebsi, Integrim dhe Unitet, Partis\u00eb L\u00ebvizja e Legalitetit, Aleanca Progresiste L.ZH.K, Fryma e Re Demokratike, Partis\u00eb Balli Komb\u00ebtar, dhe Partis\u00eb Kristian Demokrate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb kemi t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn baz\u00eb krahasimi. S\u00eb bashku k\u00ebto parti n\u00eb vitin 2021 kan\u00eb arritur t\u00eb marrin 731 671 vota, nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb vitin 2023, kan\u00eb grumbulluar 535 415 vota, nj\u00eb r\u00ebnie prej <strong>26.6%.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pra, kemi nj\u00eb r\u00ebnie nga 46.31% t\u00eb votave totale n\u00eb vitin 2021, n\u00eb 39.8% t\u00eb votave n\u00eb vitin 2023, r\u00ebnie kjo me <strong>6.48<\/strong> pik\u00eb p\u00ebrqindje. P\u00ebr t\u00eb realizuar krahasime sa m\u00eb t\u00eb sakta duhet q\u00eb t\u00eb merret ndryshimi n\u00eb pik\u00eb p\u00ebrqindje, sepse n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb rast ruan baz\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00eb krahasimi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe width=\"600\" height=\"345\" seamless=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vTTI4H8_hQAcZ7hj53s4v7gi-XZ8VIbiBVuUtfbDG2c9wfnCWLUH0YbZ-YUFtAXRe8XSEyeGzNUPFG_\/pubchart?oid=1653744603&amp;format=interactive\"><\/iframe>\n<br>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px;\"><small><br>\nBurimi: <a href=\"https:\/\/iemis.kqz.gov.al\/\">KQZ <\/a> <br>\nKomente dhe Analiza: Open Data Albania <\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe width=\"600\" height=\"371\" seamless=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vTTI4H8_hQAcZ7hj53s4v7gi-XZ8VIbiBVuUtfbDG2c9wfnCWLUH0YbZ-YUFtAXRe8XSEyeGzNUPFG_\/pubchart?oid=2055252645&amp;format=interactive\"><\/iframe>\n<br>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px;\"><small><br>\nBurimi: <a href=\"https:\/\/iemis.kqz.gov.al\/\">KQZ <\/a> <br>\nKomente dhe Analiza: Open Data Albania <\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe width=\"600\" height=\"345\" seamless=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vTTI4H8_hQAcZ7hj53s4v7gi-XZ8VIbiBVuUtfbDG2c9wfnCWLUH0YbZ-YUFtAXRe8XSEyeGzNUPFG_\/pubchart?oid=223659295&amp;format=interactive\"><\/iframe>\n<br>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px;\"><small><br>\nBurimi: <a href=\"https:\/\/iemis.kqz.gov.al\/\">KQZ <\/a> <br>\nKomente dhe Analiza: Open Data Albania <\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe width=\"600\" height=\"669\" seamless=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vTTI4H8_hQAcZ7hj53s4v7gi-XZ8VIbiBVuUtfbDG2c9wfnCWLUH0YbZ-YUFtAXRe8XSEyeGzNUPFG_\/pubchart?oid=1922590038&amp;format=interactive\"><\/iframe>\n<br>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px;\"><small><br>\nBurimi: <a href=\"https:\/\/iemis.kqz.gov.al\/\">KQZ <\/a> <br>\nKomente dhe Analiza: Open Data Albania <\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container\">\n<p>Partia Socialiste ka sh\u00ebnuar rritje t\u00eb numrit t\u00eb votave nga viti 2013, n\u00eb vitin 2017 dhe n\u00eb vitin 2021. N\u00eb zgjedhjet e fundit lokale, 2023, pati nj\u00eb r\u00ebnie me rreth 188 mij\u00eb vota. N\u00ebse i nj\u00ebjti num\u00ebr votuesish n\u00eb total, dhe p\u00ebr PS-n\u00eb ruhet edhe p\u00ebr vitin 2025, at\u00ebher\u00eb <strong>mesatarja e votave<\/strong> p\u00ebr deputet p\u00ebr <strong>PS<\/strong> do t\u00eb <strong>binte<\/strong> nga <strong>10 380<\/strong> vota p\u00ebr deputet n\u00eb vitin 2021 n\u00eb <strong>6 900<\/strong> vota p\u00ebr mandat n\u00eb vitin 2025. Pra PS tani i fiton Mandatet me m\u00eb pak vota t\u00eb nevojshme.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Open Data Albania <\/strong>po krahason t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtin rezultat votash si p\u00ebrkthehet n\u00eb Mandate p\u00ebr Subjektet n\u00ebse vendi ka nj\u00eb sistem <strong>zgjedhor\u00eb Komb\u00ebtar dhe jo Rajonalin<\/strong> p\u00ebr t\u00eb cilin m\u00eb lart shpjeguam nonsenset e deformimit n\u00eb p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsim.<\/p>\n<p>N\u00ebse PS do t\u00eb merrte po 579\u00a0576 vota, Por vendi do t\u00eb kishte Konkurrim Komb\u00ebtar dhe jo Rajonal, megjith\u00ebse ruhet e nj\u00ebjta formul\u00eb (e cila aplikohet p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjith\u00eb vendin dhe jo p\u00ebr secilin rezultat n\u00eb Qark) PS do t\u00eb merrte vet\u00ebm <strong>67 Deputet<\/strong>\u00eb. Pra m\u00eb pak se 50% e numrit t\u00eb Deputet\u00ebve n\u00eb Kuvend.<\/p>\n<p>N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb rast b\u00ebhet m\u00eb efektive vota p\u00ebr parti t\u00eb reja dhe t\u00eb vogla (t\u00eb cilat marrin gjithsej 18 deputet). Sistemi me Konkurrim Komb\u00ebtar nuk shkakton mos lexim dhe bjerrje vote p\u00ebr asnj\u00eb subjekt konkurrues dhe ruan nj\u00eb raport m\u00eb t\u00eb mir\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsimit.<\/p>\n<p>Me votat e vitit 2023 dhe me sistem proporcional me konkurrim komb\u00ebtar koalicioni <strong>Bashk\u00eb Fitojm\u00eb<\/strong> do t\u00eb siguronte vet\u00ebm <strong>28<\/strong> deputet\u00eb, duke p\u00ebsuar nj\u00eb humbje me <strong>6<\/strong> deputet\u00eb nga sistemi me konkurrim rajonal.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Partia Demokratike Zyrtare<\/strong> do t\u00eb merrte <strong>nj\u00eb<\/strong> mandat m\u00eb shum\u00eb n\u00ebse do t\u00eb aplikohej sistemi proporcional komb\u00ebtar, p\u00ebrkat\u00ebsisht <strong>12<\/strong> nga <strong>11<\/strong> q\u00eb shfaq projeksioni p\u00ebr vitin 2025.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Progresiv n\u00eb nj\u00eb Sistem me Konkurrim Komb\u00ebtar, <\/strong>do t\u00eb sh\u00ebnohej rezultati p\u00ebr Partin\u00eb e Tom Doshit i cili garanton 10 deputet\u00eb. <strong>5<\/strong> deputet\u00eb do t\u00eb siguronte <strong>Partia Agrare Ambientaliste<\/strong>. K\u00ebto pes\u00eb parti do t\u00eb q\u00ebndronin parti parlamentare me t\u00eb dy tipet e sistemeve zgjedhore, por me num\u00ebr t\u00eb ndrysh\u00ebm mandatesh.<\/p>\n<p>Me sistemin <strong>Zgjedhor Proporcional me konkurrim komb\u00ebtar<\/strong> do t\u00eb kishte edhe <strong>10<\/strong> (dhjet\u00eb) parti t\u00eb tjera parlamentare. p\u00ebrkat\u00ebsisht Partia Republikane dhe Partia Drejt\u00ebsi, Integrim dhe Unitet me <strong>nga 3 deputet\u00eb<\/strong>, Partia L\u00ebvizja e Legalitetit, Aleanca Progresiste L.ZH.K, Partia Demokracia Sociale, dhe Fryma e Re Demokratike <strong>me nga 2 mandate<\/strong>, si dhe Aleanca Liberale e Djatht\u00eb, Partia e Gjelb\u00ebr, Aleanca Arbnore Komb\u00ebtare, dhe Nisma Thurje do t\u00eb siguronin nga nj\u00eb deputet secila.<\/p>\n<p>K\u00ebto llogaritje jan\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb bazuar n\u00eb sistemin Zgjedhor Proporcional Komb\u00ebtar, pa prag komb\u00ebtar 1% (duke qen\u00eb se \u00ebsht\u00eb hequr me an\u00eb vendimit t\u00eb Gjykat\u00ebs Kushtetuese me dat\u00eb 04.10.2021 Rasti Elton Debreshi).<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<br \/><iframe src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vTTI4H8_hQAcZ7hj53s4v7gi-XZ8VIbiBVuUtfbDG2c9wfnCWLUH0YbZ-YUFtAXRe8XSEyeGzNUPFG_\/pubchart?oid=1698013882&amp;format=interactive\" width=\"592\" height=\"622\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" seamless=\"\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px;\"><small><br \/>Burimi: <a href=\"https:\/\/iemis.kqz.gov.al\/\">KQZ <\/a> <br \/>Komente dhe Analiza: Open Data Albania <\/small><\/p>\n<p>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<br \/><iframe src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vTTI4H8_hQAcZ7hj53s4v7gi-XZ8VIbiBVuUtfbDG2c9wfnCWLUH0YbZ-YUFtAXRe8XSEyeGzNUPFG_\/pubchart?oid=140628731&amp;format=interactive\" width=\"600\" height=\"790\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"yes\" seamless=\"\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px;\"><small><br \/>Burimi: <a href=\"https:\/\/iemis.kqz.gov.al\/\">KQZ <\/a> <br \/>Komente dhe Analiza: Open Data Albania <\/small><\/p>\n<p>\n\n\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Artikuj me analiza dhe t\u00eb dh\u00ebna mbi Rezultate dhe Procese Zgjedhore mund t\u00eb gjeni n\u00eb Web-faqen e Open Data Albania, kategoria <a href=\"https:\/\/ndiqparate.al\/?cat=491\">Procese Zgjedhore.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Ky artikull \u00ebsht\u00eb produkt i pun\u00ebs s\u00eb ekipit Open Data Albania si pjes\u00eb e publikimeve n\u00eb kuad\u00ebr t\u00eb zbatimit t\u00eb <em>Projektit Open Data, Access and Transparency over Sectors exposed to Risk of Corrupsion<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:html --><br \/><b>Shkarko excel: <\/b>N\u00ebse d\u00ebshironi t\u00eb aksesoni excel ose dataset q\u00eb shoq\u00ebron k\u00ebt\u00eb artikull ju lutem na shkruani ne emailin<a href=\"mailto:info@ais.al\"><b> info@ais.al<\/b><\/a><br \/><b>Komente dhe Analiza:<\/b> Open Data Albania<br \/><b>Kontribuoi: <\/b>Ilir Brasha dhe Aranita Brahaj<br \/><b>Data Entry dhe Vizualizime:<\/b> L. Bushi dhe\u00a0 K. Hoxholli<\/p>\n<p><style>\np{<br \/>\ntext-align: justify !important;<br \/>\n}<br \/>\n<\/style><\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:html --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ekipi i analist\u00ebve pran\u00eb Open Data Albania ka b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb Projeksion t\u00eb ndarjes s\u00eb Mandateve n\u00eb Zgjedhjet p\u00ebr Parlament q\u00eb do t\u00eb mbahen n\u00eb 2025. P\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb projeksion jemi bazuar tek rezultati n\u00eb qarqe sipas Subjekteve Zgjedhore n\u00eb votimin p\u00ebr k\u00ebshilla bashkiak t\u00eb mbajtur m\u00eb 14 maj 2023. N\u00ebse n\u00eb 2025 shkohet me t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtin Sistem Zgjedhor, me t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtat Parti pjes\u00ebmarr\u00ebse dhe votat jan\u00eb&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":19499,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false},"categories":[39,491],"tags":[5727,1625,5726,1629,1560,3611,5745,1623,1628,5411,4087,5729,1624,1631,5742,4545,5730,3053,5743,5722,4738,5725,5728,4725,4771,4143,3052,3051,5732,5744,5731,3057,1622,653,1564,4158],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/ndiqparate.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Projeksion-Zgjedhje-2025-Deputet-sipas-Subjekteve-perllogaritje-rezultati-ne-zgjedhjet-e-14-Majit-Kodi-Elektoral-ne-Fuqi.png?fit=600%2C549&ssl=1","jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":22167,"url":"https:\/\/ndiqparate.al\/?p=22167","url_meta":{"origin":19497,"position":0},"title":"Partit\u00eb Politike, Vler\u00ebsimi i Sistemit Komb\u00ebtar t\u00eb Integritetit 2023","date":"May 1, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb artikull po zbardhim rezultate dhe rekomandime p\u00ebr Partit\u00eb Politike, t\u00eb b\u00ebra n\u00eb Raportin Vler\u00ebsimi i Sistemit Komb\u00ebtar\u00eb t\u00eb Integritetit. 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